Guest “Just a bit outside” by David Middleton
In the Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) 2020 International Energy Outlook, renewables (together with hydroelectric) had been forecast to surpass petroleum and different liquid fuels because the world’s main supply of main power. This is often known as the “energy transition” from fossil fuels to unicorn mud.
Since the consumption of fossil fuels and nuclear energy had been truly forecasted to proceed to develop, there can be no precise transition and Inigo Montoya would say…
Today’s launch of the 2021 International Energy Outlook now not forecasts renewables taking the lead earlier than 2050…
OCTOBER 6, 2021
EIA tasks accelerating renewable consumption and regular liquid fuels progress to 2050
Today we launched our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021). In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes present legal guidelines and rules, we challenge that robust financial progress and rising populations will drive will increase in international energy-related carbon dioxide emissions and power consumption by means of 2050. Much of the rise in power consumption will probably be met with liquid fuels and renewable power sources. Natural gas- and coal-fired era applied sciences in addition to the rising use of batteries may also immediate elevated consumption.
Some key findings of IEO2021 embody:
If present coverage and expertise developments proceed, international power consumption and energy-related carbon dioxide emissions will improve by means of 2050 because of inhabitants and financial progress.
The industrial and transportation sectors will largely drive the rise in power consumption. Electric automobile gross sales will develop by means of 2050, inflicting the interior combustion engine fleet to peak in 2023 for international locations which can be members of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) and in 2038 globally. Despite this projected progress in electrical automobile gross sales, the continued progress in power consumption will trigger international energy-related carbon dioxide emissions to rise by means of 2050 in response to our IEO2021 Reference case.
Principal contributor: Michelle Bowman
As an “added bonus” EIA now forecasts that coal consumption for power will exceed its alleged 2014 peak by 2043…
And they proceed to forecast that fossil fuels will proceed to be the world’s dominant supply of main power for a lot of a long time to return…
Claims that we're within the technique of transitioning away from fossil fuels are…